UK Weahter Update

Unseasonably cold conditions to come across the UK this weekend after a quick warm up this week. Mainly unsettled and showery but not as unsettled as recently.

Today will see the sunniest weather in the north and southwest, mainly cloudy elsewhere.

Today:

Scotland, especially the north and west, will have a fine and rather warm day. Southwest England and West Wales will also see plenty of sunshine and it will feel warm especially in any sunshine with lights winds. Elsewhere it will be rather cloudy with a few showers in the southeast later. Maximum Temperatures 13-17c
Rather heavy, thundery rain will move into the southeast of England and reach the southwest and south Wales by midnight. Elsewhere, cloudy in the east but clearer to the west.
Thursday:
Outbreaks of rain are expected from East Anglia down to the south Midlands and southern parts of England. Cloudy with showers or longer spells of rain in much of the south and later in the north of Scotland. Elsewhere, cloudy near eastern coasts but sunnier in the west. Maximum Temperatures 12-16c

Friday

Colder today. Continued rather cloudy across much of England and Wales with some outbreaks of patchy light rain. Scotland and Northern Ireland will be dry with the best the sunshine once again. All parts dry this evening with a cold night ahead producing a widespread frost in many areas. High temperatures today of 7 to 13 Celsius.

I will have a detailed bank holiday forecast on Friday but turning chilly this weekend with showers for many areas.

Regards,

Matthew

UK Weather Update

Unsettled with sunny spells and showers continuing

Friday 
A number of showers again are expected to develop as we go through the morning, perhaps with a few heavy ones across cardigan bay and the north western parts of Wales and also across Scotland. Showers tend to become more widespread in the afternoon but interspersed with some dry, sunnier spells. Maximum temperatures today of 8 to 12c.
Further outbreaks of rain and showers across Scotland, East Anglia and the southeast this evening but then most parts of the country will have a dry night with patchy clear spells. Frost will develop in some places by morning.

Saturday
Mostly sunny morning to come, but scattered showers will start to affect most places. Risk of some showers for everyone during the afternoon. Again interspersed with some dry, sunnier spells. Most of the shower will clear during the evening and rather cold again tonight with some pockets of frost. Maximum temperatures today of 9 to 13c.

Sunday
Mainly dry with sunny spells across England and Wales this morning, heavy showers affect Northern Ireland and Scotland. Once again in the afternoon, sunny spells and occasional showers across much of the country. Most showers will die away by evening. Rain spreads across Northern Ireland, into southwest England and West Wales during the course of the night. Maximum temperatures of 10 to 15c.


Monday
Some rain to come for South West England and South Wales. Broken cloud and heavy showers over the rest of the country, some of these thundery and of hail.  Highs at 9 to 11C.

Tuesday
Another unsettled day for all areas. There will be sunny spells at first, but showers will be forming quickly and some of these are going to become heavy at times. Highs at 10 to 13C.


Wednesday to Friday
A continuation of the generally unsettled pattern is likely for much of the period. Persistent rain is expected across many areas on Wednesday and Thursday, particularly across southern areas, with the best of any brightness across western Scotland. Showers and sunshine are expected to continue with the showers will be heavy at times with a risk of hail and thunder, with southern and eastern parts most prone to longer spells of rain.


Have a good weekend,
Matthew

UK Weather Update

Sunny spells and showers continuing and then chilly and unsettled conditions on the way next week

April Showers

Sorry about the lack of posts in recent days, been really busy and just haven't had enough time to update.
Friday

A frosty start in many rural areas then another day of sunshine and showers. Showers will be heavy and locally thundery in the south, especially over southwest England and south Wales, and lighter but increasingly wintry in the north. Maximum Temperatures of 8-14c

Friday night

Still some showers across Wales and south west England. Elsewhere it becomes dry and clear. Most areas will have a cold, dry night with a widespread frost by morning but maybe the south staying frost free. Expect minimum temperatures of -2 to 3 Celsius.

Saturday

Showers less widespread than recent days, but still likely to be wintry over Scotland and parts of northern England. Plenty of sunny periods but feeling colder. Some of these will be of snow over the high ground in the north. During this evening most of the shower activity will die away again which will lead to a dry, clear, cold night with a frost by morning. Maximum Temperatures of 7 to 11c.

Sunday
A windier day however dry weather for much of the country throughout the day with lots of sunny spells but maybe the north east seeing a few light showers. Winds will increase in the west tonight with outbreaks of rain across Northern Ireland and Scotland. Dry tonight across England and most of Wales with a frost across central and southern England. Maximum of 7-11c.

Outlook for start of next week
Bright for many on Monday but heavy rain in Northern Ireland, spreading to all areas overnight. Windy with frequent showers on Tuesday. Showers continuing on Wednesday but with lighter winds. Temp 7-12c

Have a good weekend,

Matthew

UK Weather Update

Big change on the way and snow is back in the forecast

You can't imagine after last weeks warmth, that some places could see snowfall this week but in some places this might well happen as winter returns Tuesday.

Today

A cold, fine and frosty start to the day, however the far north of Scotland will see some outbreaks of rain with scattered showers expected across western Scotland and Northern Ireland. Everywhere else will be mainly sunny with maximum temperatures today of 10 to 13 Celsius.

Monday

Cold with snow expected across northern parts of Scotland today. Showers are expected across southern Scotland and even into parts of England, Wales and Northern Ireland at times. The south coast may escape with a dry day. Rain and snow will arrive in southern Scotland into northern England during the evening and night with rain into North Wales. Top temperatures of 9 to 14 Celsius.

Tuesday to Thursday

Colder Tuesday as rain, sleet and snow spreads south, accompanied by brisk winds. Hard
widespread frost Tuesday night. Cold and windy again Wednesday with wintry showers. Cloudy Thursday with some light rain in the west. For Tuesday, High temperatures in a range of 3 to 13 Celsius but a big drop of temperatures later in the day in the south. Wednesday and Thursday, 5-9c.

So a big drop in temperature this week and for some places, a 13-15c drop in temperature from last week and turning more unsettled with some rain for the drought hit areas. How long will the unsettled weather last? I'll keep you updated in the coming days.

Regards,
Matthew

UK Weather Update

Dry, Warm and Sunny

The summery weather will continue this week across nearly all parts of the UK with clear skies and temperatures in the high teens or low twenties. However, places along the edge of the East coast may see low cloud and fog at times resulting in temperatures not getting above 8c.

Today will be starting chilly, with areas of mist and fog mainly affecting eastern England and the Scottish Lowlands. It will soon become fine across the UK, with many seeing unbroken warm sunshine, with the northeast in particular again becoming exceptionally warm. Temperatures 17-22c

Tonight:

Dry and clear overnight, allowing the temperature to fall away once more to give a slight frost in places. Further fog patches may form in eastern England by dawn.

Tuesday:

Any early fog will soon clear to give another warm, dry and sunny day. It may feel a little cooler in parts of the southwest, with brisk easterly winds. Temperatures 17-22c

Wednesday to Friday:

Dry and fine conditions and warm sunshine until Friday but these will gradually be replaced from the north by cooler and more cloudier weather, with an increasing chance of light rain in the far north. Still some sunny spells in the south towards the weekend but more cloud and feeling cooler with a fresh NW wind. Temperatures 17-22c Wednesday and Thursday 10-16c Friday

UK Weather Update

Mainly, Dry settled and fair.

Wednesday 

Light rain across northern Scotland and maybe parts of the south west at times, much of the country will be fair and dry but cloud amounts will be high. As the day progresses there will be some breaks allowing a few sunny spells across eastern areas of England and Scotland. This will be followed by a dry afternoon and more sunshine developing. Maximum temperatures of 10 to 15c.

Thursday 

Most places will be dry today, but once again across southwest England and southern Wales there may be patchy spells of rain in the morning and in the afternoon, but where the rain will be is currently uncertain so some may get a damp day but others staying dry. Best of any sunshine today is likely to be across Scotland and north east England again. Maximum temperatures of 11 to 16c

Friday 
Any rain will tend to fade away but Wales could see a few showers in the afternoon. Dry across all of England with sunny spells. Showers will fade away this evening and where any lengthy clear spells occur, we could see a slight frost. Maximum temperatures of 11 to 16c.

For the weekend, Saturday will see most of the country fair and dry with sunny spells and it will be very mild or many.  Highs of 14 to 19C. Sunday will be another very mild/warm across the country. It will be dry with lengthy sunny spells for many, maybe some low cloud at times on eastern coasts. Highs of 15 to 19C. 

Regards, 

Matthew

UK Weather Update

Becoming, cooler and more unsettled this week but high pressure returning again as next week progresses

The weekend looks to turn more unsettled and it will feel cooler with spells of rain at times. 

Today, Rain across Northern Ireland and Scotland reaching western Wales and parts of northern England by evening. Otherwise a cloudy start but turning brighter with some sunny spells developing. Also becoming drier and brighter across the northwest later. Tonight, Rain spreading to much of England and Wales, although some central and southeastern parts staying dry. Scotland and Northern Ireland largely dry and chilly, although showers possible in the northwest.

Saturday:

Outbreaks of rain across England and Wales gradually clearing eastwards through the day. Cooler conditions, with a mixture of sunshine and occasionally heavy showers following from the north and west.

Outlook till tuesday

A mix of sunshine and showers on Sunday. Mostly fine Monday after a chilly start, although rain likely in the northwest and this will gradually spread southeast through Tuesday. 

Tuesday onwards

High pressure then rebuilds in across the country as next week progresses with much of the country dry and settled. With an easterly/south easterly wind set to develop, western parts of the country may have the best of the sunshine this time with cloudier conditions in the East. Light winds will return and so will the mild temperatures and feeling very pleasant in any sunshine.

Have a good weekend,

Matthew

Weather for the week ahead - Monday 12th March to Sunday 18th March 2012

Settled, dry with sunshine for many and very mild for some but turning more unsettled and cooler towards the weekend.

Today 
Cloud should break to leave a sunny afternoon and feeling quite warm in the sunshine with light winds for everyone. Low cloud will linger in western and northern areas for much of the day and here temperatures will be lowest. Maximum temperatures of 8-15c.


Tuesday
Light rain across north west Scotland but the rest of the UK looks dry with low cloud and fog lifting to sunny spells by the afternoon across southern parts of England and Wales however more low cloud in the west again with patchy drizzle possible at times. Maximum Temperatures of 10c in low cloud, 17c in any sunshine.


Wednesday
Any fog and low cloud will clear again today leaving another dry day with sunny spells widely. More sunshine even in the west today but there will always be more cloud here with the longest sunny spells further East and south. Very mild with temperatures of 12-18c.


Thursday
Another mainly dry day today across the UK but some rain is possible again in north west Scotland today. Fog is likely across many parts of England and Wales but this will clear to leave sunny spells again and another mild day to come with very light winds and maximum temperatures of 10-17c.


Friday
Patchy rain will affect western UK but most of England will stay dry with sunny spells but more cloud in the afternoon. A band of rain will move southwards overnight. Max Temps of 10-15c.


Saturday
Confidence decreases a lot for Saturday however it looks like at the moment that the band of rain will move back northwards during the day and Central and Southern England will stay dry. A cloudy and wet night across England and Wales. Maximum Temps of 7-14c.


Sunday
Cooler and windier across much of the UK today with much of the country having a wet morning with rain but this should clear to sunshine and showers during the afternoon. More rain tonight. Maximum Temperatures of 8-12c.

UK Weather Update

High Pressure to dominate from the weekend through to the end of next week.

The weather over the next few days and next week continues to be dominated by high pressure so rainfall does look unlikely with plenty of dry weather. The high pressure will continue to build from the south and this should allow some warm temperatures for the time of year, with 17C possible in many areas. Today, some rain to the north and west at times, overcast but mainly dry weather further south and east. Tomorrow, another mainly cloudy day but the cloud will break in places allowing sunny spells to develop and it will feel pleasantly warm where any sunshine does develop. For next week, sunshine amounts are uncertain at the moment but there does look to be a good amount of sunshine for many places during next week with light winds. So plenty of dry and sunny weather for most of us to enjoy next week but it may turn more unsettled during next weekend and cooler but this may change of course.


Have a good weekend,
Matthew

Weather for the week ahead - Monday 5th - Sunday 11th March 2012

Milder again but mainly unsettled until weekend

Today:
Rain lingering in the far east but mainly fine and dry with lighter winds but staying chilly with max temperatures of 10c


Tuesday
Any patchy light rain across thesoutheast of England this morning is expected to fade as it turned drier and brighter.Cloudier across Scotland as outbreaks of rain spread into western Scotland and Northern Ireland in the morning where it lingers into the afternoon. The rest of England and Wales will have a dry day with sunny spells but more cloud develops for the afternoon. Maximum temperatures of 8 to 10c

Wednesday 
Heavy rain will affect southern Scotland and all of England and Wales in the morning. This rain then clears Eastern England in the afternoon, and as it does so it becomes colder with such showers across western and northern areas. These showers will be turning wintry from North Wales northwards. A number of snow showers will continue to affect western parts of Scotland but fading to few overnight. It will stay quite windy and turning cold tonight. Maximum temperatures today of 5 to 11c

Thursday 
Winds will tend to moderate today. Most of the country will have a dry morning with sunny spells with a few showers around north western coasts. In the afternoon. Some rain will move into northern Scotland with one or two showers across the southeast of England, otherwise continued dry. Tonight the far north west will keep somerain but for most places it'll be a dry night. Maximum temperatures of 7-10c

Friday

Confidence does decrease at this range but it looks like rain will clear Scotland and Northern Ireland to sunny spells. A wet day across England and Wales with spells of rain. Dry, clear and colder tonight. Highs of 9 to 12C. 

Saturday 

Overall a dry day for most areas with sunny spells. Some rain may affect northern Scotland and Northern Ireland. Dry and mostly clear tonight with fog and a frost. Highs of 8 to 11C. 

Sunday 

High pressure returns from the south on the weekend. There may be some dense fog to clear England and Wales in the morning otherwise a dry day across Britain with sunny spells. Maximum temperatures of 10 to 13C. 

UK Weather Update

Heavy rain and even some Heavy snow today.

Heavy rain will fall across much of the country today and finally some good news for East and South East England who are still currently in a drought. The band of heavy rain will give the UK drought areas welcome rain with 15-25mm widely, and locally 40mm but perhaps less rain in Kent and Essex. Also, As this rain band pushes eastwards, there is a risk of it turning to sleet and wet snow.  


The metoffice has also issued a Yellow severe weather warning for Snow for some areas. The map for this is below however other areas that aren't in the yellow warning may also see rain turn to snow but settling snow will be limited to high ground.

Tomorrow, southeast may again see rain, sleet and even some wet snow as well as strong winds during the morning and quite cold here through the day too and Rain should finally clear eastern coasts in the afternoon. A nice day for the rest of England and Wales with good spells of sunshine although some showers for the north and west of Scotland but these tending to be isolated. Highs at 2-4C in any rain in the east, 5-8c in the N & W. 

So don't be surprised to see rain turning to snow today and it will be a cold one, especially compared to late. I'll have the weather for the week ahead later.

Regards, 

Matthew

UK Weather Update

Colder weekend and maybe some much needed rainfall for some areas.
The current mild weather will be replaced by a lot colder conditions over the weekend with most places also seeing some rain on Sunday. This is due to an area of low pressure moving west to east over the south of the UK which should lead to some much needed heavy rain to southern parts. Even at this short range, the models are still uncertain about the track of this low and it’s possible the main band of rain will miss the UK but also if the GFS is correct, then on some northern edges of the band of precipitation, colder air will be present and this could lead to the rain turning to sleet and wet snow. 


GFS Model is showing a deeper low moving east on Sunday bringing heavy rain and quite strong winds with colder conditions following behind.

Saturday:
A cooler and windier day for much of the country with outbreaks of rain at times. Dry and bright in the East in the morning but mainly cloudy elsewhere with patchy rain moving eastwards. By the afternoon this will have cleared most areas with bright and colder conditions following but some blustery showers aswell and these may be wintry in  parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland later on. Windy in the north and west with Max temperatures of 8c in the north and 12c in the south but turning colder once the rain has cleared.

Showers continuing tonight in western and northern areas but dry and partly cloudy elsewhere. Rain arriving into southwestern parts and N.I by early morning. Lows of 4-6c

Sunday:

Still some uncertainty on Sunday and this will affect Monday and Tuesday aswell as the track of the low is still uncertain however it looks like it will turn windy in the South as outbreaks of heavy rain spread east across all parts through the morning. Rain will continue through the afternoon and into the evening and maybe even turning wintry on its Northern edge as colder air moves in. Wintry showers continuing in the north. Colder with Max temperatures of 4-8c.

Early next week should start mainly fine and dry as Sundays rain clears eventually on Monday leaving mainly dry conditions with bright spells and winds becoming lighter and maybe touch of frost at night. A colder day with Max temps of 4-7c. Turning wet and windy from the northwest late Tuesday. 

So a change to a lot colder weather this weekend and early next week and maybe some unsettled weather aswell on Sunday but will it last? I'll have the weather for the week ahead later on this weekend.

Have a good weekend,
Matthew

UK weather update

Pattern change now looks likely bringing colder and some unsettled weather for a time but how long will it last?

The weather has been dominated by high pressure in the South of the UK over the last two weeks which has brought very mild SW winds into the UK but this is going to change from the weekend.


A cold front will move towards the UK on the weekend bringing a change to more colder conditions. This feature will introduce a cold airmass with 850hPa temperatures of below -5c and also some precipitation however any details are uncertain at the moment. But what is likely is that there will be a considerable drop in temperature compared to what we have been used to as of late with temperatures struggling to 5/6c in the west and maybe 5-8c in the East and snow is possible but this is only really likely on any higher ground in the north and west. 


850hPA temperatures for Sunday

The length of this cold spell is still currently uncertain however a change to colder, sunnier with wintry showers looks likely from the weekend but temperature look to rise by the middle to end of the next week but this is likely to change.


Regards, 
Matthew

Weather for the week ahead - Monday 27th February - Sunday 4th March 2012

Springlike week again. Very Mild for most of the week, but Rain in some Northern and Western Areas, mainly dry with some sunny spells at times in the South and East. It may turn more unsettled by the weekend but confidence on this is low.

Monday will bring a mainly cloudy day for most of the country. Southern England and East Wales should have a dry day however West coasts will probably see drizzle by the afternoon. Rain will affect Scotland and most of northern England during the afternoon and this should die out as it spreads South and East. Maximum Temperatures of 9-12c. Monday night, drizzle still affecting western coasts. Rain for Northern and Western Scotland but Eastern and Southern parts of Scotland should stay dry. Minimum temperature of 5-9c

For Tuesday, Western coasts of Wales and England and Scotland may see patchy drizzle and mist or fog patches but some bright spells also at times. Everywhere else, any cloud should break late morning leaving Sunny spells and plenty of dry weather. Mild again and even warm where any cloud does break and temperatures could reach 17c but 11 or 12c on western coasts.

For Wednesday, Western coasts of the country will see the cloudiest conditions again, The rest of the UK will be very mild day with a good deal of cloud but also some sunny spells nearly everywhere. Maximum temperatures of 11-15C. 

On Thursday, fronts will move eastwards bringing some rain to western Scotland. Drier further south with high pressure still in place here but there may be some drizzle at times again on west coasts of Wales and northwest England. Eastern and southern areas should be mainly dry with some sunny spells across southern and eastern England. Maximum Temperautures of 10-15C.

Confidence becomes low for beyond Friday but at the moment, Showers will affect Scotland and Northern England but should clear during the day bringing drier weather. Southern parts of England and Scotland will be dry for maybe all of the day. Maximum Temperatures at 9-14c

This is when the confidence really does start to fall for the forecast for the weekend, but more unsettled weather looks more likely. Saturday, England and Wales should be mainly dry with some sunshine through southern and eastern areas again. Rain may creep into the West later Maximum temperatures of 8-13c. Low confidence again for Sunday but a more unsettled day and turning colder with rain for most areas, heaviest in the West but this could easily change. Rain possibly snow on hills with maximum temperatures of 5-9c

The weather in Pembrokeshire last week was pretty awful with drizzle/mist/fog nearly every day of the week and unfortunately this week does not look that promising either compared to the rest of the UK. Patchy light rain and drizzle will be back but there will be some drier brighter interludes also and it will be staying very mild still but not as mild as E Wales and England.

Here are the min and max temperatures and also rainfall for the next 2 weeks for London and the second for Glasgow. However, these are likely to change, especially after the 4/5 day timeframe but a drop in temperature looks likely from this weekend.

Have a good week,

Matthew

Very Mild day for parts of the UK for this time of year with temperatures reaching 19c

Unusual temperatures for this time of year across many parts of Central and Eastern England today as temperatures hit 18.7c.

The record for Feb is 19.4c in 1891. Not all places enjoyed the sunshine however and places where it stayed misty and cloudy all day, temperatures struggled to get above 12c but this is still mild for this time of year with the average only around 8c. These temperatures are in huge contrast to the -18c we saw in the same places around two weeks ago.

This radar picture highlights where the cloud broke and this is where the warmest temperatures occurred. 


For the rest of the week and weekend, mild weather will continue to dominate but not as mild as today.


Tonight, A band of rain will spread southeastwards, reaching northern England by the morning. Cooler conditions will follow, with showers across Scotland. Largely dry to the south, but western parts will continue to see patchy drizzle and hill fog at times. Lows 6-10c but maybe 2c in Northern Scotland.


Tomorrow, rain continuing southwards across parts of southern England and Wales. Brighter but colder to the north, with blustery showers in the far north. Still quite windy today particularly across Scotland and It will remain quite mild across central and southern parts of England but elsewhere it will be a bit cooler. Light patchy rain across Southern England and Wales in the afternoon will clear in the night leaving drier, cooler and clearer conditions, taking longest to reach the South East. Most of Scotland and Northern Ireland will have a dry day with sunny spells although a few scattered, mainly light showers are expected to run into northwest Scotland on the brisk west winds. As the winds drop we may see some fog patches developing along with a slight ground frost in places. High temperatures today of 3 to 6C across Scotland and Northern Ireland, 8C for northern England but 11-14C across southern England and Wales.


For the weekend, Most places will be fine after a chilly start Saturday.  Sunday should be dry and fine aswell with fairly light winds and highs of around 10c/11c. Further spells of rain spreading east Sunday night and Monday, easing as they do so. Breezy and staying fairly mild with highs of 7-11c, coldest in the North.


Pembrokeshire will start off dry tomororw but mainly cloudy but rain and mist will arrive again by the afternoon with highs of 11c . Mainly dry saturday with sunny spells but rain spreading East late Sunday evening and Monday.


So starting to feel like Spring now across many areas and this winter is coming to a close however cold conditions are still possible during March with some quite severe cold spells in March in the past. The drought across the South East and Midlands looks set to continue with little rain expected in next few weeks at the moment.


Regards, 
Matthew

WEATHER WARNING - RAIN (Be aware)

The MetOffice have issued a severe weather warning for NW England for today. Heavy rain will affect this area for most of today and may lead to some localised flooding. Rain should ease later but there remains a risk of localised flooding due to river levels peaking later.

Further information and advice can be found here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/links.html

Weather for the week ahead - Monday 20th to Sunday 26th February

Very mild for the time of year before cooling off a bit for the weekend.


Tuesday onwards, air originating from the tropical Atlantic, feeds in mild winds from the south-west or west. Fresh to strong south-west winds for tuesday and a Mild, breezy and rather cloudy day. Outbreaks of rain continuing in the west, especially over upland areas, but otherwise dry with some bright spells, particularly to the east of any hills. Highs of 10c for most in the south and around 8c for scotland. Temperatures will stay well above freezing overnight . Outbreaks of rain will affect western coasts. A drier night in the midlands and the East and south east. Lows at 4 to 8C. 


Wet and windy on Wednesday, particularly across the north and west. A series of fronts will pass southeastwards bringing periods of rain with them. The rain probably won't reach the south by the afternoon and the rain always lighter in the south east. Highs 8-12c.


Thursday should be mainly cloudy across much of the UK and Ireland. Western coasts will have drizzle at times. Bits of sunshine will be appearing away from western coasts and where these occur it will become very warm for the time of year with tops of 17C in the Midlands and South East, 9C in western Scotland. Similar day on friday however A cold front will move into western Scotland and western Ireland bringing rain here at times. To the east and south conditions should be dry, perhaps with some bright spells at time.Very mild again, 9-10c Scotland, 12-16c in the South.

For the weekend. Rain looks like it will move eastwards through the first part of saturday but this fades through the day as pressure builds to the west with drier conditions here. Pressure still high over the south of the country on Sunday perhaps with a frost sunday morning. Fronts moving into Scotland will give cloud and rain at times. Highs at 7 to 10C. 

This chart shows the warmth caused by a huge warmth sector during Thursday. Very Mild temperatures for February.

Brief Cold spell today and tomorrow but then a very mild week

A band of heavy rain and gusty winds is currently moving SE across the UK and this should clear most parts by late afternoon but maybe not until late evening in the South East. Behind this is much colder air which will bring snow/sleet/hail showers to Scotland, Northern Ireland, North West England and parts of North and West Wales. When the front has passed through, temperatures will plummet from around 8-10c to 3-5c in many parts with a biting North Westerly Wind with a very cold wind chill. So today will bring a wet day for many and windy too and cold in the north from early morning but the cold doesn't reach the South until late afternoon/evening. Once the front clears, wintry showers across Scot, N.I, NW England and N & W Wales but mainly dry and clear elsewhere and a widespread frost tonight. Max Temperatures Today - 4/5c North, 8/9c South but 3-5c once front has passed through. Low Tonight generally 0c to -3c but probably above freezing in any coastal areas. If anyone has a weather station, the temperature drop today will be huge and quite quick aswell. The temperature has dropped 2c in 35 minutes here.


For Pembrokeshire, showers of hail/sleet/snow will affect the county for the early part of tonight and may lead to icy stretches first thing tomorrow. Tomorrow will be sunny but windy and cold with a max temperature of 7c. 

The radar picture below highlights the front moving through with the wintry showers following behind. The other charts below show the huge difference in surface temperature once the front moves through. (Click on the charts to expand them)


                                Saturday 15:00

                                Saturday 21:00

Sunday will then bring a sunny cold winters day to many after an early frost and any wintry showers will die out during the die but staying cold with a strong NW wind with a Real feel of around -5/-6c. Another Frost in central and Eastern areas tonight.

Next week is all change again with very mild and mainly unsettled conditions affecting much of the country. Highs could reach 15c in the south by the end of the week.

Regards, 

Matthew

Weekend brief cold snap

This week so far has been a shock to the system as mild air has returned with temperatures reaching double figures across many parts of the UK today. However, A cold front on Saturday will  introduce cold air from the NW.  This will first bring a band of rain followed by clearer and colder conditions and this could lead to the back edge of the rain turning wintry in places. This Metoffice fax chart below shows the cold front moving through the country on Saturday.

By Saturday evening,  850hPA temperatures across the Northern UK will be in the -8 to -10 region which will result in any precipitation being wintry in nature and at low levels.  Heavy wintry showers will follow behind this cold front and Scotland, Northern England and West and North West Wales will be at the greatest risk of showers. Currently, some sleet and snow showers are likely and some snow accumulations are possible.  However, how much precipitation that is associated behind this cold front is still uncertain as if high pressure builds from the West too quickly, then showers will be limited. 


These GFS charts show where showers are more likely and how they will be wintry on Saturday/Sunday. The first chart is for Saturday at 12:00pm  and the second is for Sunday at 12:00pm

So a return to colder conditions is likely at the weekend but looks short lived with mild conditions returning next week.


Regards, 
Matthew

Weather for the week ahead - Monday 13th To Sunday 19th February

Milder weather this week and plenty of dry weather across all of the UK but for how long?


During this week  high pressure is positioned well south- west of Ireland, and the feed of air, although from the NW, has come from all around the high from the mild Azores region, so that in spite of the wind direction, it will be a fairly mild week but turning colder through the weekend.

Tonight, it will be breezy in most areas with variable cloud. The cloud will be thickest across eastern England, and southern England at the start of the night, where showers are likely. Clear spells may also form and where they do, a local frost is possible.

On Tuesday, any early showers across southeast England soon clearing to leave sunny spells for many places. Cloudy and damp across northwest Scotland. Fairly mild, but breezy. 8c in north and west, 5/6c in the East.

Quite cloudy on Wednesday, with the sunniest conditions in the south and east. Rain will spread southwards Thursday into Friday, with blustery showers following into Scotland. Windy throughout but staying mild with max temps of 7-9c throughout. Frosts are unlikely but local frosts can not be ruled out under any clear skies in the East with min temps of 2c here but more generally 4-6c.

The weekend is alot more uncertain, however it on Saturday to be Colder and windy across the north today with snow showers across Scotland, northern England and Wales. Rain clears the south east on saturday morning then dry and sunnier. A widespread frost develops tonight. Expect highs of 3 to 8c. Sunday will be a colder, windy day with snow showers across around western and eastern coasts. Dry inland with long sunny spells. highs of 2 to 7C.