After another snow event for England, it looks like back to milder conditions from Sunday

Heavy snow fell in parts of England last night and the precipitation band was further East than forecast giving another snow event for the SE and London. Pembrokeshire stayed as rain as we were under milder 850hPA temperatures than the rest of Wales and England although it stayed cold all night with a maximum temperature of 3c. 

Tonight any rain should clear the South West of Wales and England to leave a mainly cloudy night although clear skies will develop widely across England allowing temperatures to plummet here with a severe frost and widespread ice with temperatures widely below freezing with -2c to -5c in cities and -5 to -10c in rural areas. Cloudier and milder in Scotland and Northern Ireland with a min of 1c. By the morning clear skies should of reached most of Wales and maybe Pembrokeshire and temperatures may well be below freezing in most of Wales, maybe closer to freezing in the west depending on when skies clear. This may aswell lead to widespread ice tomorrow morning. 

Alot of cloud again across northern areas and Ireland, with occasional rain or drizzle, especially across Scotland and Northern Ireland. Tomorrow will be mainly sunny across England and Wales but very cold again with max temp of 3/4c but even colder in the East with light winds everywhere.

A cold night to come Saturday night with a widespread frost again with temperatures -2c to -4c widely, maybe abit more cloud in the East at times. Not so cold in Scotland and Northern Ireland with overcast conditions here and a min temp of 2c.Sunday then sees a return to slightly milder weather in Wales and the South West of England, staying slightly colder in Eastern England but not as cold as recently with highs of 7c in the West, 4/5c in the East.

Milder weather looks to dominate most of next week but a solid trend is now appearing in the models that another burst of cold from around the 19th/20th February from the North this time. A long way off yet though but will be doing updates about this in the Long Range Discuission.

Snow Update for Parts of the UK

Freezing rain has fallen widely across N England this morning leading to a coating of ice in places but the problem with freezing rain should ease through the afternoon as milder air moves into N England. Further south any rain will turn to sleet and snow in some places this evening and overnight and this should linger in the South during tomorrows rush hour.
However, I can not believe how poorly the precipitation distribution has been handled by the models and the Metoffice as the precipitation is alot further East than forecast.


The Metoffice have issued a yellow warning for snow for E Wales, parts of SW England and the Midlands but i do think the SE and East Anglia should be under this warning as snow is currently falling their alot more than the other places.


You can see the warning below. 

Yellow Warning of Snow09 Feb 2012, 16:00

Issued at - 09 Feb 2012, 11:54
Valid from - 09 Feb 2012, 16:00
Valid to - 10 Feb 2012, 12:00

An area of snow is expected to develop over parts of east and northeast England later on Thursday. This evening and tonight snow will then extend steadily southwestwards into central and some southwestern parts of England, as well as the east of Wales. Whilst there is uncertainty regarding where the heaviest and most persistent snow will fall, accumulations of  1 to 5 cm are likely with a risk of up to about 10 cm in the worst affected regions. These larger totals are more likely across the Midlands and perhaps southeast Wales. Later in the night the snow is expected to die out across northern, eastern and much of central England to be followed by widespread ice on untreated surfaces. The public should be aware that, as a result, there could be some disruption to travel. This warning will be kept under review and may be updated in the light of new information.

Significant Snow possible for parts of Wales and England Tomorrow Night And Friday, Also freezing rain for parts of N.England and Scotland

Tonight, a weather front bringing rain continues southeast, into northern England after midnight,  perhaps falling as sleet or snow on higher ground but the main problem is likely to be freezing rain which may cause some treacherous conditions on roads. In the south, there will be another harsh frost with temperatures widely -2c to -5c and maybe even -10c in rural areas. Tomorrow, uncertainty grows, but at the moment what looks most likely is that the front will move further south and east and will increasingly turn to snow through tomorrow night and into Friday. Inland areas in the NW, the Midlands, E Wales and central and parts of southeast England are most at risk. Accumulations of 5-10cm are expected in any affected area. The front then looks to pull back West. 

Latest GFS model showing the snow. Dashed lines are the snow.

Latest MetOffice fax showing the front being pulled back westwards.

Unfortunately, Pembrokeshire looks likely to miss the snow again and rain will move in tomorrow night here and Friday looks a dreary day with light rain for much of the day but still feeling cold. High of around 4/5c.

Models are still hinting at the possibility of a Greenland High next week but a lot of uncertainty about this. For cold weather fans, this would be great and would also increase the snow risk for Wales.

Latest UKMO model showing the Greenland High and northerly winds through the UK on the 14th.

WEATHER WARNING - ICE

Temperatures dropped below freezing widely in Pembrokeshire and most of the UK last night leading to widespread Icy patches especially on untreated roads. The public is advised to take extra care, further information and advice can be found here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/links.html. Ice should melt through the day, a sunny day to come but cold with max temperatures of 4c, frost again tonight.

Weather for Week ahead - 6th to 12th Feb

Weather for the week ahead - Monday 6th to Sunday 12th - Remaining Cold away from Northern Ireland and Scotland but dry with severe overnight frosts.


Wales:
During the early part of this coming week, most of Wales will be in slightly milder air as we are within a slack area between high and low pressures but turning colder from Tuesday as high pressure builds and winds from the East return.
Bits of rain and drizzle around today for much of the country and some extensive mist and hill fog. Highs between 4c and 8c, milder in the west. On Tuesday, Low cloud and any freezing fog should clear to leave sunny intervals, but it could become cloudier in the East later. Colder with a Maximum temperature 5 °C with an Easterly Breeze, this followed by a medium to severe frost overnight with lows generally between -1c and -5c but locally colder. Dry and colder on 
Wednesday and mainly sunny with Max temps between 0c and 3c, after an overnight frost. More cloud on Thursday and especially Friday which may produce some patchy light rain or sleet in places, mainly north. Remaining cold though with max temps generally between 0c and 4c. and frosts likely in places where skies clear. Confidence for the weekend is low however it looks mainly dry but cloudy and maybe slightly milder with max temperatures between 1c and 6c.

UK:


Today, Murky conditions will dominate but some clear spells further north however Wintry showers will affect East Anglia and southeast England. Cold away from the west, with a severe frost, especially over snowcover. Temp Max - 0-3c East,  4-8c West. Tuesday will see any wintry showers ease across southeast England, with brighter conditions across England and Wales. Plenty of sunshine for much of Scotland. Milder and cloudier in Northern Ireland. For the rest of the week, Rain across NI and parts of Scotland will progress southeastwards, with the risk of some snow for Scotland and northern England. Otherwise, Remaining very cold but largely dry elsewhere with sunny spells and severe overnight frosts at times. Max Temps around 0-3c, Low temps -1 to -8c, perhaps milder in Northern Ireland


Europe:


Very Cold weather continues throughout the coming week with snow in places. Temperature may recover slightly by weekend however another Siberian outbreak looks on the cards, especially East Europe.